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Does Elon Musk Want a Tesla-SpaceX Merger? What We Know

Elon Musk says special committees at Tesla and SpaceX are assessing a possible merger, but no terms have been agreed and there is no guarantee of a deal. He…

By Elena Vance
October 21, 20263 min read
Does Elon Musk Want a Tesla-SpaceX Merger? What We Know
Does Elon Musk Want a Tesla-SpaceX Merger? What We Know

For Tesla drivers, a possible merger with SpaceX could shift the balance of Elon Musk’s business empire toward artificial intelligence and space infrastructure. Musk says committees at both companies are examining a deal, but no terms have been agreed and a merger is not guaranteed.

Asked on Tuesday whether joining the companies would be a good idea, Musk answered, “Yes.” He said the businesses’ work on chips, artificial intelligence, software and other technology projects could make a combination worthwhile.

The proposal remains under review. Musk said the special committees have not agreed on transaction terms, and shareholders would ultimately decide whether it proceeds.

Why Musk sees a case for combining the companies

Tesla makes cars, robots and self-driving technology. SpaceX operates rockets, satellites and telecommunications services, and has expanded into data centres. Musk has argued that bringing those capabilities together could support work across both businesses.

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The companies have already pursued a joint chip-manufacturing effort called Terafab, described by the BBC as another sign that Musk sees potential in closer cooperation. The BBC also reported that the companies’ respective technology projects include chips and AI.

There is a larger ambition behind the idea. The BBC reported that a merger could support Musk’s vision of building a self-sustaining city on Mars, a plan that has attracted both sceptics and supporters.

Still, the arrangement would be far from a routine corporate reshuffle. The BBC reported Tesla’s valuation at roughly $1.5tn and SpaceX’s at $2tn. A combined company would bring together vehicle manufacturing with rockets, satellite networks and computing infrastructure.

Shareholders hold the decision

Musk said he is not involved in the committees examining the deal because he leads both companies and considers himself a “conflicted party.” At least half of Tesla’s shareholders would need to support the merger, a threshold Musk described as “quite a high hurdle to achieve.”

That vote also matters to investors weighing what they would own after a deal. Investment analyst Dan Sheehan of Telos Wealth Advisors told the BBC that Tesla shareholders could end up with a “smaller slice of a much larger and more complex business.” He also said the companies’ technologies complement each other, which could help win shareholder backing.

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There is no clear precedent for how a public company such as Tesla would be valued within a combined business, Sheehan said. The structure and terms of a transaction remain unsettled, so shareholders do not yet have a concrete proposal to assess.

What it could mean for Tesla cars

The immediate effect on drivers is less certain. Experts told the BBC they are unlikely to see drastic changes in the near term even if the companies combine. David Nicholson, chief technology advisor at The Futurum Group, said vehicles appeared “almost like an afterthought” compared with the possibility of joining the companies’ technology capabilities.

Tesla has already been shifting its priorities. The carmaker said earlier this year that it would focus on its best-selling Model Y and Model 3, while moving attention away from less popular models. It has also begun using a California manufacturing plant to produce its Optimus humanoid robots.

Dan Sheehan said pairing Tesla’s self-driving technology and robotics with SpaceX’s AI and satellite network could lead to more capable vehicles. But he also raised a question about what a larger technology business might prioritize: “The question is how much priority cars get inside a company increasingly driven by AI infrastructure,” he said.

Tu Le, founder of advisory firm Sino Auto Insights, told the BBC that the recent Roadster showcase suggested SpaceX technology could be used in future Tesla products and might attract more customers. The BBC reported that Tesla faces competition from Chinese carmakers such as BYD, which overtook Tesla as the world’s biggest EV maker in January.

The market reaction was immediate but limited in the figures reported by the BBC: SpaceX shares rose 8% in after-hours trading, while Tesla shares climbed 1.5%. The committees have yet to agree on any transaction terms.

Source: bbc.co.uk

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