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Netflix Q3 2026 Earnings Beat Estimates, but Ad Forecast Falls

Netflix reported $12.87 billion in third-quarter revenue and earnings per share of 87 cents, while lowering its 2026 advertising revenue forecast to about $2.7…

By Alistair Sterling
October 21, 20263 min read
Netflix Q3 2026 Earnings Beat Estimates, but Ad Forecast Falls
Netflix Q3 2026 Earnings Beat Estimates, but Ad Forecast Falls

Netflix q3 2026 earnings topped analysts’ profit estimate, but the company lowered its full-year advertising revenue forecast to about $2.7 billion and projected slower growth in the next quarter. The results put attention on whether Netflix can lift viewing time while reorganizing its content leadership.

The streaming company reported third-quarter revenue of $12.87 billion, matching analyst expectations, and earnings of 87 cents per share, above the 82 cents forecast, according to figures cited by CNBC from LSEG. Netflix’s net income was $3.66 billion, compared with $2.55 billion in the same period a year earlier.

Investors focused on the outlook. Netflix shares fell about 6% in extended trading Tuesday, CNBC reported.

Revenue rose 11.8% year over year, Variety reported, down from 17% growth a year earlier. The slowdown came as Netflix acknowledged investor concern about viewing-hour growth and announced major changes to its workforce and content leadership.

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Netflix q3 2026 earnings and the ad outlook

Netflix now expects advertising revenue of about $2.7 billion for 2026, down from its previous forecast of $3 billion. The company attributed the reduction to a “slightly slower than expected rollout of some ad product capabilities.”

The lower forecast matters because advertising is part of Netflix’s plan to broaden its revenue base. For viewers, the company’s ad-supported tier is part of its service offering; the sources do not specify whether the revised forecast will change prices, programming or the availability of that tier.

Netflix projected fourth-quarter revenue of $13.44 billion, an increase of more than 11%, according to CNBC. Variety reported a forecast of $13.4 billion, below Wall Street’s earlier expectation of $13.5 billion. The company said membership growth, pricing and advertising revenue would support the quarter.

Netflix also forecast full-year 2026 revenue of $51.1 billion, a 13% increase from the prior year, CNBC reported. That figure is at the low end of the company’s earlier guidance range of $51 billion to $51.4 billion and below analysts’ $51.2 billion estimate cited in the report.

Job cuts and a change in content leadership

Last week, Netflix said it was cutting about 1,000 jobs, or roughly 6% of its workforce. Chief Content Officer Bela Bajaria is leaving the role, and former Disney executive Peter Rice has been tapped to replace her. Variety also reported the departures of film head Dan Lin, his top lieutenant Doug Belgrad, and director of original series Carolina Garcia.

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The company expects the reductions to have a negative impact of about 120 basis points on fourth-quarter operating margin. Netflix forecast a Q4 margin of 26.0%, compared with 24.5% in the year-ago quarter, according to Variety.

The restructuring arrives as Netflix seeks to address engagement. In its shareholder letter, the company said, “We know there's some investor concern about our view hours growth,” while arguing that engagement remains healthy. Netflix said it wants to accelerate viewing-hour growth and described a strategy focused on entertainment value, technology and monetization.

Netflix’s management team also said, “In Q3, we delivered well across all three priorities, but we see room to do even better with focused, continuous improvement.” The company has not provided further details in the sources on how the new content leadership will change its programming approach.

The company’s next reported results will show whether its forecast slowdown and ad-product rollout concerns persist as the leadership changes take effect.

Source: variety.com

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