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Markets · Stocks

SpaceX Stock Rally Ends as Value Drops by Rp10.696 Trillion

SpaceX stock tumbles after its first bond plan. Bloomberg says the market is now wary of the cost of funding its AI ambitions.

By Alistair Sterling
July 11, 20264 min read
News illustration for SpaceX Stock Rally Ends
News illustration for SpaceX Stock Rally Ends

NEW YORK — SpaceX Stock Rally Ends as Value Drops by Rp10.696 Trillion after shares fell for a third straight session, following the company’s announcement that it plans to issue investment-grade bonds for the first time. Bloomberg reported that the selloff erased more than US$600 billion in market value over a short stretch.

By Monday local time, SpaceX shares had dropped 16 percent to US$154.60 each, the lowest level since the first day of trading. The slide pushed its market capitalization to just above US$2 trillion, or about Rp35.656 trillion. The numbers are still huge. The momentum is not.

Investors who rushed in during the first wave of trading are now facing a sharper reality. A stock that opened with blockbuster demand and a tightly held float can move fast in both directions, and SpaceX is now showing how quickly enthusiasm can turn into hesitation when the financing story changes.

SpaceX stock and the bond plan

The trigger was not a product delay or a failed launch. It was financing. SpaceX’s plan to sell investment-grade bonds for the first time raised fresh questions about how much money the company needs to fund its next phase, especially around artificial intelligence ambitions that require heavy spending on chips, infrastructure, energy and staff.

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In market terms, an investment-grade bond is debt issued by companies strong enough to borrow at relatively favorable rates. The move often signals confidence, but it can also make investors look harder at future obligations. That is what seems to be happening here. The market is asking whether the company can keep expanding without stretching its balance sheet too far.

Michael O’Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading, told Bloomberg that sellers had regained control of trading. “The sellers are back in control of the market. Anybody in the world that wanted to buy this stock has bought it,” he said. The comment fits the tape. When the tradable float is small, even modest shifts in sentiment can hit the price hard.

Why the early rally faded so fast

Bloomberg said the initial surge was fueled in part by a very small amount of stock available on day one, with only 4.2 percent of total shares outstanding in circulation. That thin supply helped magnify the first burst of buying. It also made the stock vulnerable once the tone changed.

Retail investors played a big role in the early move higher. Many were drawn to the company’s long growth story: rockets, satellites, broadband, then artificial intelligence. It sounded like a clean narrative. The market, though, rarely leaves a narrative untouched for long. Once a financing plan enters the picture, traders start re-pricing risk.

That re-pricing has immediate consequences. A company can still attract capital and preserve a giant valuation, but the cost of funding becomes part of the equity story. For SpaceX, that means the bond plan is being judged not just as a cash-raising tool, but as a signal about how expensive the next stage of growth may be.

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What the slide means for investors

For traders, the drop is a reminder that low-float listings can be brutal when expectations shift. Prices can surge on demand, then fall just as quickly when the supply-demand balance flips. The moves are bigger. The risk is bigger too.

For everyday investors, the bigger lesson is about how capital decisions can hit a stock even before any operating numbers change. A bond issue may strengthen liquidity, but it can also raise concern about leverage, repayment and whether future growth will cost more than the market first assumed.

SpaceX’s market value still sits above US$2 trillion after the three-day decline, but the gap between the opening frenzy and the current price shows how fragile the first wave of excitement can be. Bloomberg said the company’s next explanation of its bond structure, the amount it plans to raise and where the money will go will be closely watched.

That is the part traders are waiting for now. The stock has already moved. The financing details have not yet arrived, and until they do, SpaceX’s next price swing is likely to be driven by one question: how much debt is the market willing to tolerate for the company’s next bet?

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