Coastal Carolina Hosts Arkansas State After Scoring Just 8 Points vs. ODU
Coastal Carolina football faced Arkansas State in Conway, South Carolina, on November 14, 2026. The Chanticleers came off an eight-point home game against Old Dominion, while the Red Wolves had scored 38 and 49 in their last two outings.
The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers hosted the Arkansas State Red Wolves in Conway, South Carolina, on Saturday, November 14, 2026, with kickoff set for 1:00 p.m. EST on ESPN+. Coastal Carolina football came in off its quietest offensive game of the season.
The Chanticleers scored just eight points at home against Old Dominion last week. Arkansas State arrived with the opposite recent record, having scored 38 against Georgia State and 49 against South Alabama.
Bailey's boom-or-bust profile
Coastal quarterback Deuce Bailey is one of the more volatile passers in college football. His 17 Big Time Throws, a stat that tags standout passes, rank 10th among college quarterbacks. His 17 Turnover Worthy Plays, which tag risky ones, are the third-most.
The ground game gives him little help. Coastal ranks 116th nationally in Rush Success Rate, which measures how often a run keeps an offense on schedule.
Without a reliable run, Bailey is pushed toward downfield throws. Those tend to produce either big plays or turnovers, and both help explain why the Chanticleers struggle to string drives together.
Red Wolves strong in the air, weak on defense
Arkansas State has its own problems. Its defense ranks 128th nationally in EPA per play allowed, a measure of how many expected points opponents gain on each snap.
The offense is a different story. The Red Wolves rank 18th nationally in Pass Success Rate and can move the ball through the air.
Quarterback Trey Owens is tied for second among Sun Belt quarterbacks in yards per attempt at 8.1. He also keeps drives alive on the ground, where he leads the team with 374 rushing yards and .45 EPA per rush.
The market view
Oddsmakers had Coastal Carolina as a slim home favorite. The Chanticleers were favored by 1.5 points, with the over/under set at 51.5 points.
One betting-system preview flagged the game as a spot where a home favorite coming off a low-scoring performance can be overvalued. It argued that the Red Wolves' steadier offense held the edge between two flawed teams.
The preview also asked why Arkansas State could not repeat its recent scoring against Georgia State and South Alabama. Whether it did was settled on the field in Conway on Saturday afternoon.
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