Grok AI Sees 35% Chance XRP Falls to $0.80 by Year-End
Grok AI gives XRP a 35% chance of dropping to $0.80 before December 31, a 17% fall from $0.96. The same forecast puts 70% odds on XRP finishing 2026 above $1, as extreme fear grips the crypto market and investors pull money from XRP funds.
Grok AI predicts how low XRP could fall before year-end: the chatbot puts a 35% chance on the token sinking to $0.80 by December 31, a 17% drop from its current price of $0.96.
The same forecast gives XRP a 70% chance of closing 2026 above $1. Grok's most likely year-end price is $1.05.
XRP has already slid 17.4% in the past week, down from roughly $1.16. It trades below its 20-day average of $1.20 and its 50-day average of $1.33, and sits 73.7% under its all-time high of $3.65.
Fear drives the downside call
Grok's $0.80 target draws on insights from crypto analyst Ali Martinez. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, a gauge of market sentiment, reads 13, which signals panic. Some $1.23 billion in crypto liquidations hit within 24 hours, as leveraged positions were forcibly closed.
Investors are also pulling money out. U.S. spot XRP funds saw $19.1 million in outflows between November 9 and 13. Their net assets stood at $1.15 billion on November 13, down 24.8% from $1.53 billion on October 15.
Grok also notes that Bitcoin is trading just under its 200-week average and that interest-rate expectations are shifting. It still sees room for a rebound. XRP's relative strength index, a momentum measure, is nearing 19, well below the oversold threshold of 30.
Three support levels to breach
Support levels are price points where buyers have historically stepped in. Grok identifies three below the current price.
The first is $0.90, about 6% beneath today's price. It marks the lower edge of a weekly descending channel and meets a rising trendline drawn from the 2020 to 2021 lows.
Next comes $0.87, roughly 9% lower. It matches the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the earlier surge from around $0.10 to $3.69, a tool traders use to judge where a pullback may stall.
The third is $0.84, about 12% lower. This is the 100-month simple moving average, and Grok treats it as the lower boundary of a supportive range between $0.84 and $0.90.
The $0.80 target sits just below that range. For the call to play out, XRP would need to break through all three levels in roughly six weeks.
Three year-end scenarios
Grok lays out three scenarios for XRP's year-end price. Its base and bull cases combined produce the 70% chance of finishing above $1.
The bear case needs a significant Federal Reserve shock, such as a half-point rate hike on December 9, or a hawkish outlook that pushes Bitcoin below $60,000. Bitcoin was trading around $65,300 when Grok made its forecast, so an 8% drop to $60,000 is plausible.
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