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Business · Macro & Policy

Trump weighs temporary tariff break for Canada as midnight deadline looms

A temporary tariff reprieve for Canada is now sitting on President Donald Trump’s desk, with US and Canadian negotiators racing toward an interim trade deal

By matthew jonathan
August 18, 20262 min read
Trump weighs temporary tariff break for Canada as midnight deadline looms
Trump weighs temporary tariff break for Canada as midnight deadline looms

A temporary tariff reprieve for Canada is now sitting on President Donald Trump’s desk, with US and Canadian negotiators racing toward an interim trade deal before a planned 50% tariff on some Canadian goods can kick in at midnight on Aug. 19. The market noticed. The Canadian dollar jumped after Politico reported the talks.

The decision now rests with Trump: accept a stopgap deal before broader USMCA negotiations or let the tariff deadline pass. Either move would send a clear signal well beyond North America. Trade watchers from Europe to Asia have been watching Washington’s tariff moves for spillover effects on supply chains and pricing.

Talks move fast, but autos still block the path

US and Canadian negotiators have spent recent days in intensive talks, trying to settle a set of long-running disputes. The emerging package, according to Politico, would include Canadian concessions on dairy tariffs, the removal of some Canadian retaliatory measures against US goods — including provincial restrictions on US alcohol — and progress toward reducing US tariffs on Canadian automobiles.

Autos remain the hardest part. Canada wants the 25% US tariffs on automobiles lowered and is pressing Washington to make the duties apply mainly to vehicle content produced outside North America. The Trump administration, for its part, continues to push Canada to open more doors to US products and address what Washington sees as barriers.

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That dispute sits at the center of the broader USMCA file. It also carries a familiar risk: a short-term fix can calm markets, but it can also leave the biggest fight for later. Very later.

Midnight pressure

The clock is the point. If no interim deal lands before midnight on Aug. 19, the planned tariff on certain Canadian goods is set to take effect. For Canada, that would add fresh pressure on exporters already navigating a strained North American trade relationship. For the US, it would deepen a tariff fight that has already become a political and economic test for Trump’s trade team.

Any reprieve would not settle the larger USMCA battle. It would only buy time. And time, for now, is what both sides appear to be chasing.

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