On November 3, 2026: price 109.17 USD, trend uptrend, RSI 74.3, support 92.29, resistance 109.71. technical analysis of ups stock. UPS Stock Drops — full…
By matthew jonathan
November 4, 20264 min read
Logo United Parcel Service — JournalArta illustration
Why UPS is in focus today
Trading near its 3-month high (110.16)
Fresh golden cross: SMA20 crossed above SMA50
RSI(14) at 74.3 — overbought zone
Uptrend confirmed (5-day change 2.90%)
Not covered by JournalArta in the last 14 days
Selected automatically from 80 NYSE (US) stocks by a technical-signal score with daily weighted randomisation — not a recommendation.
UPS shares fell 0.49% to $109.17 on Tuesday, November 3, even as a fresh golden cross and a rising trend kept the stock near its three-month peak. The latest session’s decline contrasts with gains of 2.90% over five days and 17.25% over one month, leaving a technical picture with strong momentum but growing signs of short-term strain.
Trend & Price Action
UPS trades above its 20-day moving average of $100.34 and its 50-day average of $99.49. The 20-day average rose 3.80% over five days, while the golden cross formed one session before the latest session, when the shorter average moved above the longer one. That crossing supports the upward trend, but it is not, by itself, proof that the advance will continue.
The shares are at 97% of their 20-day range and near the three-month high of $110.16. The 20-day resistance at $109.71 is just above the latest price, making this a test of whether demand can push the stock through a nearby ceiling. As shown in the chart, price is also approaching the upper Bollinger band at $111.11.
3-month price action chart of UPS: price, SMA20/50, Bollinger, support & resistance.
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Oscillators & Momentum
The momentum indicators confirm the strength of the recent advance, but also show that it has become crowded. The RSI is 74.3, in overbought territory; RSI measures the pace of recent gains, and readings above 70 are commonly treated as a warning that a share may be extended. The Stochastic readings are also overbought, with %K at 93.0 and %D at 94.8.
MACD remains positive: its value is 3.045, above the 1.714 signal line, with a positive histogram of 1.332. That alignment indicates upward momentum is still present. Yet overbought readings mean the price could pause or pull back even while the broader trend remains intact.
Momentum chart of UPS: RSI(14), MACD, Stochastic.
Volatility & Participation
The Bollinger %B reading is 91%, placing UPS close to the upper band. The bands are widening, with a width of 21.5%, a sign that price swings have increased rather than settled into a narrow trading range. The 14-day average true range, or ATR—a measure of typical daily price movement—is $2.52, equal to 2.3% of the share price. That points to moderate day-to-day volatility, though the widening bands show that the broader move is lively.
Volume was 3,887,300 shares, 0.8 times the 20-day average. OBV, which tracks whether volume tends to accompany buying or selling, is rising. That supports the advance, but below-average volume in the latest session offers less confirmation of a fresh push through resistance.
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Key Levels & Scenarios
A sustained move above $109.71 would put the three-month high of $110.16 in focus; a break beyond that high would clear the nearest stated price ceiling. Failure to hold the current area, by contrast, would leave the moving averages around $100 as a reference zone, with the 20-day support at $92.29 marking a deeper level. Those are conditional scenarios, not predictions.
Fundamental Context
According to its SEC filing, UPS reported quarterly revenue of $22.83 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, up 7.6% from $21.22 billion a year earlier. Net income was $604.0 million, compared with $1.28 billion a year earlier, and diluted earnings per share were $0.71. The company also filed a Form 8-K on October 27 reporting its results of operations and financial condition. Revenue growth alongside lower net income makes the technical strength worth distinguishing from the company’s recent earnings picture.
Technical Verdict: HOLD
The technical bias is neutral, despite the absence of bearish signals: the indicators offer positive trend evidence, but do not establish a clear directional edge at these levels. The golden cross and rising OBV support the uptrend; in contrast, RSI at 74.3 and an overbought Stochastic warn that the advance may be stretched. Price is also close to both 20-day resistance and the three-month high.
- Ideal entry range: $100.34–$109.17, between the 20-day average and the latest price.
- Exit target: $109.71–$110.16, the 20-day resistance and three-month high.
- Stop-loss protection: $92.29, the 20-day support.
- Invalidation: This neutral verdict is invalidated if price falls below $92.29.
UPS has an upward trend, but stretched momentum and nearby resistance leave the chart without a clear directional advantage.
For non-traders, HOLD means the signals currently point in different directions rather than offering a clear technical call.
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Summary Data UPS
Last price
109.17 USD
Change 1 day / 5 days / 1 month
-0.49% / 2.90% / 17.25%
Trend / MA-cross
uptrend / golden
SMA20 / SMA50
100.34 / 99.49
RSI (14) / Stochastic %K
74.3 / 93.0
Bollinger %B / ATR
91% / 2.52
Support / Resistance 20 days
92.29 / 109.71
Data as of
4 November 2026 04:02 WIB
Disclaimer: This technical analysis is generated automatically from exchange data and indicators calculated by JournalArta, for information and education only. The verdict and the entry, target and stop-loss levels are not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investment decisions and their risks rest solely with the reader.
